Dilemma 42. Armenia-Azerbaijan Relations in 2024

by RCSP

 In the next episode of the “Dilemma” podcast dedicated to security issues, these questions are analyzed by political scientist Narek Minasyan, PhD in Historical Sciences and regional expert Armen Petrosyan, and Areg Kochinyan, head of the “Research Center on Security Policy.”

🔹 What is the current state of Armenia-Azerbaijan relations? 

🔹 Has Azerbaijan adopted a policy of hardening its position? 

🔹 The regression of international law and the advancement of hard power 

🔹 What to expect from 2024, a year full of elections? 

🔹 How can Armenia withstand anticipated pressures from different directions? 

🔹 Has Azerbaijan’s attitude towards the corridor issue changed? 

🔹 How likely is the use of force and conflict escalation in 2024?

Narek Minasyan 

“We need to be more sober, more focused, and of course, our important priority is strengthening our self-defense level. International attention in our region is gradually decreasing, and that was one of the important leverages we actively used in 2023 to contain Azerbaijan’s appetite and move it to the field of constructiveness. Unfortunately, in 2024, this leverage of ours will weaken, and the most realistic factor is maintaining control over the situation on the ground.”

Armen Petrosyan

“In my assessment, it will be a year of global uncertainties, and Armenia’s challenge will be effectively resisting anticipated pressures from various possible directions. In this resistance, we should try to actively maintain the previous mechanisms that were established during past years, especially during the past year.”

Areg Kochinyan 

“The fundamental basis is the power imbalance with Azerbaijan, and until this changes, nothing else will change.”

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