There is an ongoing conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, with Armenia being at a disadvantage. Currently, attempts are being made to partially address this conflict by involving a third parties like Russia or the EU. However, it’s important to recognize that these external actors can only play a supporting role, not the primary one. It would be unrealistic to expect them to fully fill the void. Ultimately, it is Armenia’s own efforts that hold the key.
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Russia’s presence in Artsakh is driven solely by its own interests and is not directly tied to Armenia’s policies. Whether Armenia joins NATO or a Union State, Russia’s calculations regarding Artsakh and its military presence there will not change. If it serves Russia’s interests to maintain a presence in Artsakh, they will stay; if not, they won’t.