“Erdogan constantly goes for raising political stakes and comes to a point where he is going all in. This is not a good sign. There are quite a few internal problems among elites in Turkey, and there are serious economic problems – the Turkish lira is setting new record lows every day.
This is a serious problem for an authoritarian leader, and he constantly needs to play the role of consolidation and the role of a caliph. His actions in Libya, Syria, and now in Karabakh are connected with this. By putting on the ‘shoes’ of the Islamic world leader, the caliph, he at the same time flavors it with neo-Ottomanism, pan-Turkism, and tries to ensure internal consolidation in his society by creating external problems.”