Dilemma 36: Where Has the Negotiation Process Reached?

by RCSP

In the next episode of the Dilemma podcast, dedicated to security issues, these questions are analyzed by Robert Ghevondyan, an expert at the Center for Security Policy Studies; publicist and political analyst Mikayel Zolyan; and Areg Kochinyan, head of the Research Center on Security Policy.

  • Where have we reached in the negotiation process, and where are we heading?
  • Why does Azerbaijan avoid a peace treaty?
  • What principles does the Granada Declaration include?
  • What roles do Turkey, Russia, Iran, and the West play?
  • What can Armenia do to bring Azerbaijan into the negotiation process?

Robert Ghevondyan

Azerbaijan proposes to continue negotiations in a format that will ultimately lead to a lack of resolution. Why? Because there is an approach from Russia in which certain problematic issues will either be bypassed or presented in a superficial manner. These unresolved issues could be exploited, allowing Russia to maintain control over the situation in the region. However, Armenia, of course, will not agree to this and will not sign such an agreement, which is also advantageous to Azerbaijan.”

Mikayel Zolyan

“I believe that, as of now, the risks and costs of new aggressive actions by Azerbaijan are higher than the benefits it would gain.”

Areg Kochinyan

There is a solid impression that the Turks do not want to see a reduction in Russian influence in this region and are not willing to play without the Russians. On the other hand, Russia’s position is quite clear (at least to me): Russia is opposed to peace.”

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