During the U.S. presidential elections, Donald Trump made a wide range of promises, but they all aligned with a central theme—reinforcing the supremacy of the United States. In terms of geopolitics, Trump presented himself as a peacemaker, one who would bring an end to wars around the world and establish peace. Beyond his pledge to end the Russia–Ukraine war within a short timeframe, he also emphasized the inadmissibility of new wars.
In just a few days, Trump’s second term in office will reach the 100-day mark. This timeframe is important not only symbolically but also constitutionally in the U.S.: only after a president’s first 100 days in office can an impeachment process be initiated, should grounds for it exist.
Let us now examine what President Trump has managed to achieve on the geopolitical front.
There have been no significant successes in halting the Russia–Ukraine war. U.S.–Russia negotiations are ongoing, but it is becoming increasingly clear in Washington that the issue is far from easy to resolve (I’ve addressed this topic in more detail previously). Meanwhile, Israel continues its military operations against Lebanon and in the Gaza Strip. Tensions with Iran remain high, and Trump himself has spoken of a possible military operation.
At the same time, Trump has managed to strain relations with traditional allies. Canada and EU countries are now seeking alternative frameworks for cooperation in the field of security. In the United Kingdom, discussions are underway about the need to establish a new, self-reliant European security system. In the economic domain, Trump’s innovations have negatively affected not only competitors but also allies. The introduction of reciprocal trade measures has already triggered inflation within the U.S. This has inevitably had an impact on the stock market. Key economic indices have dropped in the U.S., triggering a chain reaction across European markets. For instance, Germany’s leading stock index fell by 8% in just one week.
Domestically, things are not smooth either. This style of governance is raising numerous concerns across the country. Not only Democrats, but also many Republicans have voiced strong criticism of Trump’s policies. Once the 100-day mark is passed, they will have the legal grounds to initiate impeachment proceedings—something a number of Congress members are already openly discussing. Whether Trump will be able to avoid such a scenario remains to be seen.
Against this backdrop of stalled processes, an issue that would seem relatively easy to resolve—such as signing the already-negotiated peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan—is not receiving the attention it deserves. Yet this may become the only truly successful foreign policy achievement of Trump’s first 100 days in office.
Robert Ghevondyan